Trylon Communications  - May 2005
       

The Sky Is Falling

An article in Foreign Affairs by Thomas Bleha discussses why the U.S. is falling behind other developed nations in broadband adoption. Bleha notes that the Japanese can access broadband at speeds up to 16 times faster than Americans for half the price. The blame is laid at the feet of the current administration, but some, including The Economist (see story, subscription required), are quick to point out that the warning may be a little alarmist.

Bleha writes that other countries have fostered broadband adoption by creating policies that rewarded the expansion of fiber optic networks and the deployment of technology to facilitate broadband access. For example, the Japanese government used a combination of debt guarantees, tax breaks and partial subsidies to improve its infrastructure.

A key regulatory event that triggered infrastructure investment in Japan was when its telecommunications regulators forced local telecoms to grant outsiders access to residential telephone lines, thus opening up competition for DSL service. Bleha believes that the lack of corresponding policies here dooms the U.S. to a continuing lesser position in the world of broadband.

On the wireless front, Bleha notes that even in major cities, it is possible to lose a call on an ordinary cell phone. Due to geographic challenges, nationwide coverage is still only a dream. While Asia and Europe look at cell phones as data carriers, and have developed many new uses for them, the U.S. view of cell phones is still myopic – using phones mainly for conversations and taking pictures.

While it is true that the U.S. is losing its leadership position in many areas of technology, the FCC sees this as a strategic move, according to Bleha. While other countries fund and create policies to foster development, the U.S. relies on market forces and private investment. For example, in wireless technology, the U.S. is lagging behind many countries that have developed 3G (third generation) systems. However, because many different U.S. companies are working on solutions to this challenge, the government believes the U.S. will be better off in the long run with three or four platforms instead of one.

Is Bleha Chicken Little or Nostradamus?. Time will tell if his criticisms are valid or overstated. However, there seems little doubt that there is vast room for improvement in current U.S. broadband policies. What was once a major election plank now seems to be an afterthought.